Tourists experience the pain of smuggling in the park.

China Daily Global Online News: The hardships of Mexican illegal immigrants crossing the Mexican border can now be experienced by themselves in an ecological park. In 2004, Alberto Ecological Park, located in Hidalgo, central Mexico, launched an extreme activity called "Night Tour" and advertised "Experience what smuggling is". In the past two years, this activity has attracted many tourists.

Travel is realistic and thrilling.

There are deserts, hills, bushes and rivers in the park, and the scenery is quite similar to the areas that stowaways need to cross when entering the United States. As long as each tourist pays 200 pesos (equivalent to 20 dollars), he can experience an incredible smuggling adventure. The "night tour" usually starts at 8 pm and ends at 2 am, and lasts for 6 hours. According to the park regulations, the number of tourists on a "night trip" must be at least 20, because there must be at least 72 staff to cooperate with the whole activity.

When night began to fall, a group of tourists who had been asked to wear clothes that were convenient for activities in advance were waiting for their departure with great expectation. After hearing the "snakehead", that is, the guide’s urging "Go, go!" Later, the "illegal immigrants" hurried on the night road. The geographical environment here is complex, and the mountains and rivers are intertwined. Under the leadership of the "snake head", tourists are rushing to the mountain road with one foot deep and one foot shallow. The "snakehead" also reminds "Don’t turn on the flashlight" and "The patrol police are coming soon" from time to time, creating a tense atmosphere and making tourists wonder if they really came to the Mexican-American border.

This game is much more than that. When the "illegal immigrants" came to the Rio Grande River, which is supposed to be the border between Mexico and the United States, suddenly the lights flashed in the distance, and the "snakehead" quickly stopped everyone and hid in the bushes. Sure enough, there came a crude English question, "Are you Mexican? We are border patrol police! " In order to increase the realistic effect, the "patrol police" searched nearby for a long time and fired guns in the air. The tourists held their breath and waited until the footsteps were far away before being taken on the road by the tour guide.

Along the river, the tourists finally reached the tunnel. After crossing the tunnel, everyone was asked to wait in a cornfield. They were picked up by a big truck. The "snakehead" shouted "Get on the bus" and everyone swarmed. The truck sped along the highway, but there was another situation ahead. A team of "patrol police" appeared. Obviously, the "illegal immigrants" were found this time. The "patrol police" shouted "You are surrounded" and caught up. Surprised and frightened tourists discovered that smuggling was much more dangerous and difficult than they thought. Finally, the "snakehead" and the "stowaway" had to give in easily.

Most tourists are white-collar workers.

The "Night Tour" has been opened for more than two years, and thousands of tourists have come here. Besides Mexican natives, there are also tourists from the United States, Canada, France, Argentina and other countries who come here.

The vast majority of tourists who come here to play are white-collar workers with higher education. They always fly in and out of the United States and have never experienced such a scene. Oswald, a computer engineer from Mexico, said: "It’s shocking. I never imagined that smuggling was like this."

In fact, the "night trip" is very safe, the difficulty of the journey is less than 1/10 of the real situation, and the "snakehead" pretended by the tour guide will never give up the team members on the way. Rosa of Mexico City has been here for three times. She brings different friends and family, including her 12-year-old son, every time. She said that while we are enjoying a happy life, some people are giving their lives for smuggling. I hope my son will not only have fun in the game, but also be inspired.

The smuggling trip caused controversy.

While the United States made great efforts to build a wall to stop illegal immigrants, the Alberto Ecological Park in Mexico opened this adventure of trying to smuggle. The us border defense department expressed dissatisfaction with this and believed that this move would help Mexicans accumulate smuggling experience. However, Hernandez, the head of Alberto Ecological Park, has a different explanation. He said that the park was established by Wau indigenous people with the support of the local government. The "night trip" helps Mexicans understand the hardships and dangers of smuggling, rather than encouraging the smuggling wind.

There are 2,500 villagers in Wau Gathering Village where Hernandez is located. Before the establishment of the ecological park, most of the villagers here sneaked into the United States to find jobs without jobs. Hernandez himself sneaked into the United States five times and lived in the United States for 15 years. Most Wau residents who are tour guides of "Night Tour" have personal experience of smuggling or taking people with them. Now, the employment opportunities created by the eco-park allow villagers to stay and live and work with their families, without having to go on a dangerous smuggling trip.

In Hernandez’s view, the "night trip" is also a cultural trip and a sports trip to promote the Wau people. During the trip, tourists not only learn about indigenous culture,

I also exercised my body and cultivated the spirit of overcoming suffering, unity and self-discipline. (Lei Zhang, correspondent in Mexico)

　　The most plastic bags for express delivery on the market are made of "recycled materials". The State Post Bureau issued an implementation plan for green packaging.

　　Receiving a courier is sticky with dust? You may have received an unhealthy express package! The reporter’s investigation found that all kinds of plastic bags with the most express packaging on the market are "toxic", and because they are made of "recycled materials", a large number of harmful substances may remain. As Wechat business, e-commerce, logistics enterprises and other links reduce costs layer by layer, unhealthy postal parcels become more and more common.

　　Text/Guangzhou Daily reporter Liu Ranran

　　Correct opening method of express parcel

　　1. Put old newspapers or other papers on the table, and put the courier on it.

　　2. Cut the tape with scissors or a paper cutter, pick up the package and take out the courier, preferably wearing gloves.

　　Wash your hands thoroughly with soap or hand sanitizer immediately, and then enjoy the goods in the courier.

　　4. After unpacking the parcel, the express package should be cleaned outdoors or in a ventilated place in time and reasonably, and should not be hoarded around the desk or at home.

　　case

　　After the "mouth tearing express", the corners of the mouth are festering and festering.

　　"Originally ‘ Tear express ’ It is really possible to die. " Netizen Bo reported that after a woman in Xiamen tore the express package with her bare hands and bit it with her teeth, not only red pimples appeared on her mouth, but also pus and fester. After the dermatologist ruled out all possibilities, she judged that she might be allergic to tearing the express package.

　　The reporter visited and found that some people had a "red rash" on their hands after unpacking the courier bag, and some people were immediately "smoked" by the irritating smell after opening the courier bag. Most people often found that the courier bag was dirty, with a layer of dust on it, and there was an odor.

　　A doctor from the Department of Respiratory Medicine of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University told the reporter that almost every day, patients in the Department of Respiratory Medicine are allergic, sneezing, crying and vomiting due to unpacking express delivery, and this past summer, there were so many people who were allergic to their hands and mouth due to direct contact with express delivery bags that some people even needed hospitalization: "Now you have to buy rolls of toilet paper online. With the increasing popularity of express delivery, the resulting garbage and pollution are also in citizens’ homes every day ‘ Enter the room ’ . Many people only care about receiving express delivery happily, but they completely ignore the pollution sources in their hands. "

　　interview

　　Weighing more than 10 grams, the U disk is 26 times overweight after packaging.

　　At a courier outlet in Tianhe District, the reporter saw that even an ordinary small piece of courier similar to a USB flash drive should be tightly packed with "three layers inside and three layers outside", and the packaged express mail is ten times heavier than the real thing.

　　After the courier put the U disk into a small paper box, he filled the space with bubble film and soft recycled paper, and then wrapped transparent glue around the paper box. That’s not all. Although it has been packaged with transparent glue, the courier also put a gray plastic express package bag on the outside, put the express bill on the plastic bag and wrapped it with transparent glue several times until it fits perfectly.

　　Bubble film, soft recycled paper, paper box, transparent adhesive, plastic bag … … Why does a USB flash drive that doesn’t weigh more than ten grams have to be wrapped so much? The courier told the reporter, "This is not enough. I used to pack sunglasses for Wechat business. A pair of glasses had to be wrapped around for more than a dozen times inside and outside, and a large piece of light bubble pad was needed … …”

　　According to reports, the reason why every courier has to be packed almost harshly is to ensure that the goods are intact when they are delivered to the buyer; The excessive use of plastic products is to prevent express delivery from being rained on the road. Moreover, there is no double-sided tape on the back of most express orders. If you want to stick it directly on the express package, you have to stick a layer of transparent adhesive &hellip in all directions without dead ends. … And this dozen grams of U disk, when it was finally sent out, has reached nearly 500 grams with packaging, which is 26 times its weight.

　　Secret 1

　　Sometimes there are more bacteria on the express package than on the toilet lid.

　　The person in charge of the quality control department of an enterprise that OEM produces plastic bags for express delivery told the reporter that at present, the packaging bags used by express delivery companies are usually polyvinyl chloride (PVC) or polyethylene (PE). The raw materials of such packaging are mostly chemical materials and domestic garbage. The main raw materials are old plastics. Although the cost is very low, a large number of harmful substances such as plasticizers and flame retardants may remain. Moreover, the waste plastics may still remain the pollution when they are used for the first time.

　　The reporter learned from the Third Hospital of South Medical University that some harmful chemicals left in express packaging may cause human allergies or decline in skin immune function, and in severe cases, it may affect the liver and kidneys through blood circulation. Although chemicals need to be volatilized at high temperature or for a long time, at present, centralized sorting and long-distance container transportation are generally adopted in the logistics industry, which may not only aggravate the pollution efficiency, but also contaminate the bacteria and pollution carried by the packager and the surrounding environment, further increasing its dirtiness. "The bacteria on a courier package are sometimes much more than those on the toilet lid, and even equal to turning over the trash can."

　　Secret 2

　　Reduce costs layer by layer to create unhealthy postal parcels.

　　"In fact, this is a vicious circle brought about by compression costs." Xiaoyan, a Wechat business who often sends express delivery, told the reporter, "Now the competition between Taobao and Wechat business is too fierce. Most merchants have introduced parcel post to attract customers, and the cost of express delivery is borne by themselves. Therefore, we usually choose our own logistics providers, and the express packaging used is relatively cheap, the quality is poor and not environmentally friendly. In order to ensure that the goods are not damaged by violent sorting, sun and rain on the way, we can only ask the courier to pack several layers … … In this way, there may be one more pollution for every extra layer of packaging. "

　　"Especially for some fragile products, if the road is damaged, the courier and the merchant need to pay the bill together." A courier said that their response is simple: wrap several more layers. Why not switch to more environmentally friendly and durable packaging materials? When the courier was asked this question, he looked helpless: "If each courier can earn more than ten yuan or even dozens of yuan, who doesn’t want to use good packaging materials, but now a courier bag only earns one yuan and eighty cents, how can it afford a good packaging bag?" The courier also said that all express delivery companies are now adopting a "simple and extensive" way to seize the market, and no one wants to lose users with high orders such as "Wechat business" and "E-commerce" because of better packaging materials, so they can only bite their teeth and use low-priced packaging materials.

　　As a result, the courier violently sorts, the transportation process is exposed to the sun and rain, the express packaging is getting thicker and thicker, and the cost of a single plastic bag is repeatedly compressed … … It has formed a vicious circle, and it has also caused many citizens who love online shopping to encounter "poison parcels" more frequently.

　　How to tell:

　　Look at the parcel by color

　　Not completely reliable

　　Is there an industry standard for express delivery in plastic bags? How do express delivery companies in Guangzhou do it? The reporter learned from Guangzhou Post that at present, Guangzhou has compiled the "Specifications for Goods Mail Packaging and Selling Products". The plastic film packaging bags of the postal system are made of resin as the main raw material, and after die-cutting, printing and sealing, they are made into environmentally-friendly bag-type packaging products that can be directly used by users. The courier has the responsibility to ensure the cleanliness and hygiene of the parcel during the period of receiving the courier until it is delivered to the home. In other words, as long as citizens send things from the post office, they hardly have to worry about receiving "poisonous parcels" and "polluted parcels".

　　The relevant person in charge of SF Express also told the reporter that at present, they have carefully classified the seven packaging materials of express delivery, and strictly classified the packaging raw materials that can be recycled, reused and used once, and the required materials have also passed the inspection of relevant departments. If the public finds that the express package is damaged and polluted during transportation, they can refuse it.

　　Recently, there is a popular saying on the Internet: "You can tell whether the express package is poisonous or not by looking at the color": paper express package is the most expensive and rarely seen; Followed by white plastic bags, about 0.25 yuan each, which are relatively rare and have the least pollution in plastic packaging; Once again, it is green and yellow, half is made of old materials and half is made of new materials, and aviation parts are occasionally visible; The most common is gray-black, which is almost made of "recycled materials" and may leave a lot of harmful substances. For this statement, people in the industry said: "The statement that gray-black pollution is great is because the recycled old plastics are colorful, and it is easiest to cover the primary colors by adding gray-black, but it is not reliable to judge the pollution degree and the adverse effects on people’s health. The best way is to use high-quality materials of high-end logistics. "

　　Relevant policies

　　Introduce a plan to promote

　　Express green packaging

　　According to the website of the central government, China’s express delivery exceeded 20.6 billion pieces in 2015, ranking first in the world. However, the huge amount and variety of packaging in the express delivery industry and the environmental problems it brings have also attracted great attention from the society. The State Post Bureau recently issued the Implementation Plan for Promoting Green Packaging in Express Industry (hereinafter referred to as the Implementation Plan) to improve the utilization efficiency of express packaging, reduce packaging consumption and reduce environmental pollution.

　　The "Implementation Plan" requires that during the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period, the use rate of environmentally-friendly boxes, bags and tapes that meet the standard requirements in the express delivery industry will increase substantially, and the use of transfer boxes, cage cars and other equipment will be promoted to further reduce the use of woven bags and tapes. By 2020, packaging materials with excessive toxic and harmful substances will be basically eliminated, and a socialized recycling system for express packaging will be basically established.

　　In view of the problem of "over-packaging" that express users reflect more, the plan proposes to encourage enterprises to explore simple packaging and reduce secondary packaging.

　　BEIJING, Beijing, August 27 (Reporter Zhang Ziyang) On August 27, the Ministry of Public Security issued an A-level wanted order to publicly arrest the second batch of 50 major fugitives. The 50 major fugitives are mainly suspected of intentional homicide, kidnapping, illegal manufacture of explosives, telecommunication network fraud, illegal absorption of public deposits, organization, leadership, participation in underworld organizations and other crimes.

　　It is understood that more than 108,000 fugitives have been arrested nationwide since the nationwide public security organ "Yun Jian" campaign was launched on June 13th, an increase of 40% over the same period last year. In particular, after the Ministry of Public Security held a press conference on July 24th, issued an A-level wanted order to publicly arrest 50 major fugitives, and published the Notice of the Ministry of Public Security of the Supreme People’s Procuratorate, the Supreme People’s Court on urging fugitives to surrender themselves, the public security organs throughout the country closely investigated and monitored them, made full efforts to investigate and arrest them, and all sectors of society participated extensively, and the people enthusiastically reported them, which quickly formed a strong momentum and a strong atmosphere for all police to pursue and all people to pursue them, and achieved very remarkable results.

　　Up to now, the first batch of 50 major fugitives who have been publicly wanted have reached 28 cases, of which 3 have been arrested according to reports from the masses, 8 have surrendered voluntarily, and 17 have been arrested by public security organs.

　　The relevant person in charge of the Ministry of Public Security said that in the next step, the public security organs will continue to intensify the pursuit and strive to arrest all the wanted fugitives as soon as possible. The public security organs hope that all sectors of society and the masses will continue to support the pursuit, actively report clues and assist in arresting criminal suspects. For those who provide effective clues and play a key role in the arrest, the Ministry of Public Security will give a reward of RMB 100,000 for each person who is arrested. The public security organ promises to keep the informer’s information strictly confidential and not disclose it to any irrelevant personnel. At the same time, the public security organs once again urged all fugitives to seize the opportunity and voluntarily surrender themselves. For those who voluntarily surrender and truthfully confess their crimes, the public security organs will strictly implement the "Notice on Urging Fugitives to Surrender themselves" in conjunction with procuratorial organs and judicial organs, and will be lenient according to law. Those who stubbornly resist to the end will be resolutely punished according to law.

　　Attachment: 50 wanted major fugitives

　　1. Li Long, nicknamed "San Ge" and "Sumomo San", male, Han nationality, born on November 12, 1974, registered at No.058, Xinglong South Road, longtan town, Bobai County, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, with ID number of 45252819741112753, is suspected of organizing, leading and participating in organized crimes of underworld nature.

　　2. Tang Xionghua, male, Han nationality, born on October 21, 1969, registered at No.16, Panlong East Road, Wuxi Town, Qiyang County, Hunan Province, with ID number of 432930196910214179, is suspected of organizing, leading and participating in organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　3. Dong Xia, female, Han nationality, born on May 27, 1964, has an accent in Hexi District, Tianjin, and her household registration address is Room 9C, Block C, Ruihai Haoting, Yuya Road, Jiyang District, Sanya City, Hainan Province. Her ID number is 120103196405277024, and she is suspected of leading organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　4. Sun Shiguo, male, Han nationality, born on June 27, 1989, registered in An Zi Goushe, Xinhua Village, Jinsha Township, huadian city City, Jilin Province, with the ID number of 220282198906273252, is suspected of leading organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　5. Zhang Haiyan, male, Han nationality, born on March 21, 1957, registered in Qianzhai Village, Fuji Town, Xiangcheng City, Henan Province, with ID number of 412702195703214112, is suspected of leading organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　6. Lin Junhui, male, Han nationality, born on August 27th, 1978, is about 170 cm tall, with a round face, a slightly chubby figure and a splayed gait. His household registration address is No.170 Chaoyang, Qingzhu Farm, Changjie Town, Ninghai County, Zhejiang Province, and his ID number is 330226197808270031, and he is suspected of participating in organized crimes of underworld nature.

　　7. Cui Yongjiang, male, Han nationality, born on February 28th, 1973, is about 168cm tall and has a rectangular face. He has an accent in Jilin City, Jilin Province, and his household registration address is Sanshe, Langtoushanzi Village, Wanchang Town, Yongji County, Jilin Province. His ID number is 22022119730228683X, and he is suspected of participating in organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　8. Zhang Xiuyuan, female, Han nationality, was born on August 11, 1964. Her domicile is No.323, Xiaoyingpan Village, Dadaowan Town, qianshan district, Anshan City, Liaoning Province. Her ID number is 21031196408112180, and she is suspected of participating in organized crimes of a triad nature.

　　9. Dai Tianyong, male, Han nationality, was born on November 12, 1973. His domicile is No.287, Floor 24, Unit 4, Building 150, Shengli South Road, tiedong district, Anshan City, Liaoning Province. His ID number is 210304197311120855, and he is suspected of participating in organized crimes of underworld nature.

　　10. Du Xingchuang, male, Mongolian, was born on June 28th, 1975, and his domicile is No.6, Dutun, Qianfa Village, Ronghuashan Town, zhuanghe city City, Liaoning Province. His ID number is 210225197506280070, and he is suspected of participating in underworld organizations and committing crimes of provocation and intentional injury.

　　11. Deng Yonggang, male, Han nationality, born on January 11, 1990, is about 165 cm tall. His household registration address is No.70, Block Wu Village Group, Yangtianchong Village Committee, Dapo Township, Zhanyi District, Qujing City, Yunnan Province. His ID number is 53032819900111312. He is suspected of participating in underworld organizations, participating in forced labor, provoking troubles, illegally invading houses, illegally detaining, etc.

　　12. Li Liyang, male, Han nationality, born on January 23, 1982, is about 170cm tall, with a square face and a chubby figure. He has an accent in Fuyuan County, Qujing City, Yunnan Province, and his household registration address is No.131, Dehei Village, Chahe Village Committee, Shibalianshan Township, Qujing City, Yunnan Province. His ID number is 532225198201231711, and he is suspected of participating in underworld organizations.

　　13. Guo Bing, male, Han nationality, born on March 13, 1979, is about 174 cm tall. His domicile is No.20, Group 22, Hekou Village, Chen Qiao Street, Gangzha District, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province. His ID number is 320611197903133719. He is suspected of participating in underworld organizations and committing fraud and extortion.

　　14. Liu Hao, male, Han nationality, was born on September 2, 1989. His domicile is No.100, Group 8, Dayang Village, tinghu district, Yancheng City, Jiangsu Province, and his ID number is 320902198909020015. He is suspected of participating in underworld organizations and committing crimes of fraud and provocation.

　　15. Wang Guobin, male, Han nationality, born on April 8, 1985, is about 170 cm tall and fat. His domicile is No.39, Beichang Village, Dabeichang Village Committee, Jinshan Town, Lufeng County, Chuxiong Prefecture, Yunnan Province, and his ID number is 532331198504081215. He is suspected of participating in underworld organizations and committing crimes such as gathering people to disturb public order and gathering people to fight.

　　16. Yang Delong, male, Han nationality, born on April 9, 1959, is about 170 cm tall. His domicile is Group 26, Third Committee of Baota Street, Nong ‘an Town, Nong ‘an County, Jilin Province, and his ID number is 22012219590409073X. He is suspected of participating in underworld organizations and committing crimes such as illegal detention and intentional injury.

　　17. Yong Yang, male, Han nationality, born on October 18, 1984, is about 170 cm tall, and his domicile is No.13-1, Group 41, Yuantuojiao Village, Yinyang Town, Qidong City, Jiangsu Province, with the ID number of 320681198410184431. He is suspected of participating in evil gangs and committing crimes such as provoking troubles and destroying other people’s property.

　　18. Qu Xiangyang, male, Han nationality, born on September 20, 1994, is about 170 cm tall and of medium stature. He has an accent in lianghe county, Dehong Prefecture, Yunnan Province, and his household registration address is Longying Group 8, Longying Village, Song Township, lianghe county, Dehong Prefecture, Yunnan Province. His ID number is 533122199409201213, and he is suspected of joining evil gangs and participating in the implementation of troublemaking.

　　19. Chen Lei, formerly known as Chen Yong, male, Han nationality, born on February 14, 1985, with an accent in Tengzhou City, Shandong Province, and his household registration address is No.1358, Guanqiao Village, guanqiao, Tengzhou City, Shandong Province. His ID number is 370481198502146035, and he is suspected of illegally manufacturing explosives.

　　20. Liu Wanli, male, Han nationality, born on March 4, 1975, registered at No.35, Maqu Formation, Yangwan Village, Yima Town, Qingcheng County, Gansu Province, with ID number of 622821197503042515, is suspected of murder with a gun.

　　21. Hui Xiaojun, male, Han nationality, born on May 2, 1977, registered in Houxi Group, Huifeng Village, Guandi Town, Linwei District, Weinan City, Shaanxi Province, with ID number of 612101197705028433, suspected of kidnapping and murder.

　　22. Wei Liu, male, Han nationality, born on December 13th, 1983, registered at No.152, Liumin Group, Liumin Neighborhood Committee, Baixiang Town, Yueyang County, Hunan Province, with ID number of 430621198312135010, is suspected of intentional homicide.

　　23. Zhuang Guangmeng, male, Han nationality, born on June 26, 2001, registered in Changzao Village, Baoluo Town, Wenchang City, Hainan Province, with ID number of 46000520010626413X, suspected of intentional homicide.

　　24. Tian Fengxu, male, Han nationality, born on October 10, 1968, registered at No.062, Fourth Society, Wulidun Village, Xiamaguan Town, Tongxin County, wuzhong City, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, with ID number of 6421271968101692, suspected of intentional homicide.

　　25. Liu Xianrong, male, Han nationality, born on December 19, 1966, registered at No.11, Tuanshan Group 1, Baishu Village, Eshan Town, Fanchang County, Wuhu City, Anhui Province, with ID number of 34022219661219231X, suspected of intentional homicide.

　　26. Xu Shicheng, male, Han nationality, born on September 5, 1967, is about 175 cm tall. His domicile is No.80, No.11 Hutong, Zhonghuan Road, Liubian Village, Sun Shi Town, Wen ‘an County, Hebei Province. His ID number is 132828196709050610, and he is suspected of intentional homicide.

　　27. Xia Dongming, male, Han nationality, born on December 5, 1972, registered at No.54, Group 2, Dunao Village, Yunlong Town, Yinzhou District, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, with ID number of 330227197212054254, suspected of intentional homicide.

　　28. Bu Jiawen, male, Han nationality, born on May 17, 1970, registered at No.022, Aishe Team, Datong Village, Shuangwang Town, Bobai County, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, ID number: 452528700517749, suspected of intentional homicide.

　　29. Liu Fulang, male, Han nationality, born on October 5, 1973, registered in Dangling, Jinkeng Village, Meilin Town, Wuhua County, Guangdong Province, with ID number of 44142419731005814, is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　30. Zeng Yuhong, male, Han nationality, born on December 15th, 1984, registered at No.268 Xinmin Village, Qingcheng Town, Yuzhong County, Gansu Province, with ID number of 620123198412150016, is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　31. Liang Liyi, nicknamed "Niu Shi", male, Han nationality, born on June 5, 1977, registered at No.1-1, Team 5, Shalu Village Committee, Xinxu Town, ling shan, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, with the ID number of 45072119706050954, is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　32. Li Chunxi, male, Han nationality, born on April 16, 1969, registered in Group 11, Tiantou Village, Nanqiang Town, Linwu County, Chenzhou City, Hunan Province, with ID number of 432827196904162014, is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　33. Hu Zegui, male, Han nationality, born on November 21, 1954, is about 160 cm tall. His domicile is No.31, Group 2, Fuxingting Village, Baotai Township, Langzhong City, Sichuan Province. His ID number is 512930195411215754, and he is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　34. Zhang Yuanzao, male, Han nationality, born on October 18, 1972, is about 165 cm tall, of medium build, registered in Qianzhuang Village, Baishuiyang Town, Linhai City, Zhejiang Province, and his ID number is 33262197210182477, which is suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　35. Park Songbo, male, Korean, born on May 1, 1967, registered at Group 9, Xinying Committee, Xinzhan Street, Dongchang District, Tonghua City, Jilin Province, with ID number of 220502196705010830, suspected of intentional injury and death.

　　36. Zhao Biao, male, Han nationality, born on October 15th, 1969, registered in Xiao jiang kou xiang, Xupu County, Hunan Province, is suspected of raping a young girl (the original ID card has expired, but no new one has been issued).

　　37. Sunny Li, male, Han nationality, born on September 20, 1983, registered at No.302, Building 17, Guangda Industrial City, Liusha North Street, Puning City, Jieyang City, Guangdong Province, with ID number of 445281198309207096, suspected of major fraud.

　　38. Du Chunsheng, male, Han nationality, born on February 14th, 1967, registered at Room 821, Group 27, Xiaopan Village, Dapan Town, Tiexi District, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province, with the ID number of 210114196702142119, is suspected of major fraud.

　　39. Zhang Yufen, female, Han nationality, born on July 26, 1972, registered at 42-8 West Street, Chengguan Town, Huaibin County, Xinyang City, Henan Province, with ID number of 411527197207269020, suspected of major fraud.

　　40. Si Fuzhao, male, Han nationality, born on December 26th, 1980, registered at No.56, Xingfu Road, heshun county, Jinzhong City, Shanxi Province, with ID number of 140723198012260070, is suspected of major fraud.

　　41. Jia Qiuying, female, Han nationality, born on December 4, 1973, is about 155 cm tall. Her domicile is No.302, Unit 1, Building 14, Wanglv Living Area, Wangcun Town, zhoucun district, Zibo City, Shandong Province. Her ID number is 370721197312041828, and she is suspected of major fraud.

　　42. Geng Yidong, male, Han nationality, born on July 10, 1970, is about 172 cm tall. His domicile is Room 402, Unit 1, Building 9, Luzhou East Road, Jizhou District, Ji ‘an City, Jiangxi Province. His ID number is 362401197007101511, and he is suspected of major fraud.

　　43. Zeng Jiajia, female, Han nationality, was born on July 25th, 1983. Her domicile is No.2, Zengcuo Road, Linbang Village, Tieshan Town, xinluo district, Longyan City, Fujian Province, and her ID number is 350802198307256549. She is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　44. Li Xuexiang, female, Zhuang nationality, born on January 20, 1988, is about 158 cm tall and of medium build. Her household registration address is No.98-1, Second Team of Qianjiang Overseas Chinese Farm, Qianjiang Town, Xingbin District, Laibin City, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, and her ID number is 45226198801203665. She is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　45. Xie Lijing, female, Han nationality, born on January 23, 1987, registered at No.21 Heping Street, Ningchang Town, Wuxi County, Chongqing, with ID number of 500238198701231683, is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　46. Bai Hongkun, male, Han nationality, born on June 29, 1988, is about 172 cm tall. His domicile is No.9 Qishi, Fenglou Village, Yacheng Town, Xiapu County, Ningde City, Fujian Province, and his ID number is 35225198806291019. He is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　47. Chen Guanliang, male, Han nationality, born on March 23, 1989, registered at No.7, Group 2, Zhaoliqiao Village, Zhaoliqiao Town, chibi city City, Hubei Province, with ID number of 421281198903232932, is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　48. Lin Shoupeng, male, Han nationality, born on November 16, 1982, registered at No.2 Chencuo Lane, Dongmen, Haimen Town, Chaoyang District, Shantou City, Guangdong Province, with the ID number of 440582198211160718, is suspected of committing telecommunication network fraud for many times.

　　49. Wang Gang, male, Han nationality, born on March 18, 1968, registered at No.214, Unit 2, 10th floor, No.6 Crouching Tiger Bridge, Haidian District, Beijing, with ID number of 110108196803182215, is suspected of illegally absorbing public deposits.

　　50. Yang Junming, male, Han nationality, born on October 31, 1962, registered at No.101, Unit 3, Building 9, Zhouzhuang Shanshui Wenyuan, Chaoyang District, Beijing, with ID number of 142623196210312318, is suspected of selling cultural relics.

　　In April, 2022, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, the Supreme People’s Procuratorate and the Ministry of Public Security jointly issued a notice to continue the nationwide special campaign to crack down on environmental crimes of hazardous wastes and fraud of automatic monitoring data of key pollutant discharge units. Local ecological and environmental departments responded positively, combined with the crackdown priorities and regional situation characteristics specified in the notice, and severely cracked down on environmental crimes such as illegal collection, utilization and disposal of hazardous wastes without a hazardous waste business license or under the cover of legal qualifications.

For a new car, the comprehensive discount is as high as 100,000 yuan, the wardrobe product is over 100,000 yuan, 40,000 yuan, and each set of air-conditioning cabinets is highly subsidized by 1000 yuan … For consumers, a big wave of "wool" is already on the way.

The Securities Times reporter learned from the Guangdong Provincial Department of Commerce that on April 28th, the 2024 Guangdong Consumer Goods Trade-in Campaign and the "Home 520" shopping season (promoting consumption in summer) were officially launched. According to the relevant person in charge of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Commerce, the theme of this activity is "’old’ needs to be replaced by new ones to enjoy consumption", focusing on key areas such as automobiles, home appliances, home improvement and kitchen and bathroom. Trade-in of consumer goods will run through the whole year, and the "Home 520" shopping season (promoting consumption in summer) will last until the end of June.

Since the beginning of this year, policies and measures on the trade-in of consumer goods at the national level have been continuously introduced. On April 26th, the People’s Bank of China, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance and the General Administration of Financial Supervision jointly held a promotion meeting on large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods. At the same time, the trade-in activities in various places are in full swing, and the trade-in boom of consumer goods is set off with real money. Trade-in of consumer goods will create a trillion-dollar market space. As the main line running through the current and future period, it is expected to bring benefits to related industries and enhance the profitability of listed companies.

Focus on three major areas: automobiles, home appliances and home improvement kitchen and bathroom.

According to the "Action Plan for Promoting Trade-in of Consumer Goods in Guangdong Province" released in early April, Guangdong will mainly carry out trade-in in three areas: automobiles, household appliances, home improvement and kitchen and bathroom. The reporter found out that in this trade-in activity of consumer goods, a number of listed companies in more than three fields issued preferential policies with great strength and high amount.

In the automobile field, many models of Ai ‘an and Haobo, which are owned by GAC, have preferential conditions with different amounts, ranging from 26,000 yuan to 100,000 yuan under the market concessions and loan interest subsidies of the OEM. Among them, the comprehensive discount of AION LX PLUS can reach as high as 100,000 yuan, and you can enjoy lifetime warranty (complete vehicle), lifetime free basic maintenance and free charging piles. This is also the model with the highest comprehensive preferential amount in this trade-in activity.

In terms of other car companies, BYD has introduced different redemption rights for series of cars such as Dynasty Net, Ocean Net, Tengshi, Equation Leopard and Wangwang. Weilai announced the introduction of a subsidy of up to 1 billion yuan for oil vehicle replacement, and the maximum benefit for oil vehicle users to replace Weilai is up to 30,000 yuan; Xpeng Motors has issued a policy of 15,000 yuan for the replacement of this product and 10,000 yuan for the replacement of other products; Ideal launch "May Day Ideal Car Festival", from April 22nd to May 5th, order brand-new ideal L6, 2024 models of ideal L7/ ideal L8/ ideal L9, ideal MEGA, and enjoy the right to buy a car for a limited time of up to 20,000 yuan.

In the field of home appliances, Gree Electric said that during the event, the highest discount for air conditioners is 400 yuan/set, and the highest discount for cabinets is 1000 yuan/set. It will also provide consumers with one-stop service for exchanging old ones; Midea Group introduced a replacement subsidy, and purchased green appliances to enjoy an additional replacement subsidy ranging from 50 to 1000 yuan; Hisense home appliances carry out trade-in activities for about 300 models in five categories: TV, refrigerator, air conditioner, washing machine and kitchen appliances, among which the first-class energy efficiency accounts for more than 80%, and the maximum subsidy for a single unit is 2,000 yuan.

It is worth noting that a number of home appliance listed companies have invested heavily in trade-in activities, and the total amount of investment has been clearly defined. Gree Electric announced on April 28th that in response to the State Council’s "Action Plan for Promoting Large-scale Equipment Renewal and Trade-in of Consumer Goods", it will invest 3 billion yuan to start the trade-in of household appliances from now on. Hisense Home Appliances said that the company plans to invest a total of 800 million yuan in trade-in subsidies nationwide in 2024.

In the field of home improvement kitchen and bathroom, Sophia has made great profits on solid wood boards, dusting, wooden doors, wardrobes, cabinets and other products, and has made great discounts. At the same time, she has also upgraded the old renovation service, provided free on-site room measurement and design services, and launched a new package service of 7,999 yuan for five major spaces, allowing consumers to realize a big renovation with a small budget.

Government subsidy+financial empowerment+e-commerce platform assistance

In addition to the large profits of enterprises, the government, financial institutions, e-commerce platforms and other entities will participate together to form a joint force and bring greater benefits to consumers.

It is reported that in order to promote the trade-in of automobiles, household appliances and home-improvement kitchens and bathrooms, Guangdong Provincial Finance will arrange special funds to issue subsidies for scrapping and updating automobiles, and coupons for replacing and updating automobiles and exchanging household appliances.

Taking automobile "replacement and renewal" coupons as an example, individual consumers who transfer their own vehicles in Guangdong and buy new energy vehicles and fuel vehicles that meet the national six emission standards in Guangdong are given a one-time subsidy for car purchase coupons. The subsidy standard is divided into three grades: if the car purchase price is 70,000 yuan (inclusive) to 150,000 yuan (exclusive), the subsidy for purchasing new energy vehicles is 3,000 yuan/vehicle, and the subsidy for fuel vehicles is 2,000 yuan/vehicle; If the car purchase price is 150,000 yuan (inclusive) to 250,000 yuan (exclusive), the subsidy for new energy vehicles is 5,000 yuan/vehicle, and the subsidy for fuel vehicles is 4,000 yuan/vehicle; If the car purchase price is more than 250,000 yuan (inclusive), the subsidy for new energy vehicles is 8,000 yuan/vehicle, and the subsidy for fuel vehicles is 7,000 yuan/vehicle.

In terms of financial institutions, Guangdong ICBC supports the trade-in activities by launching preferential financial products, improving the convenience of financial services and launching rich promotional investment. For example, the product of "trade-in by installment" has been launched in a targeted manner. For automobile products, according to customer qualifications and loan demand, the "zero" down payment can be supported at the highest, and loan support can be provided at 100% of the automobile price, with a maximum loan of 1.5 million yuan. Guangdong UnionPay will cooperate with banks to provide relevant rights and interests, such as "200 yuan discount for car purchase with credit card over 10,000 yuan", "80 yuan discount for home appliances with digital credit card over 1000 yuan" and "200 yuan discount for home decoration with credit card over 10,000 yuan". Guangdong Construction Bank introduced subsidies for the sale of old household appliances and the purchase of new ones with "trade-in". At the same time, it also offered profit-making sales to the enterprises participating in the activities.

In terms of e-commerce platform, Meituan Platform said that it plans to invest more than 5 billion yuan in marketing and subsidy resources in the next three years, relying on offline instant distribution capabilities to provide support for trade-in; Tmall launched the theme marketing campaign of "Guangdong Home Appliances Trade-in", and set up online special marketing and live broadcast activities in daily marketing and major marketing nodes such as 618, double 11 and Home Improvement Festival; In JD.COM, the subsidy benefits of "trade-in subsidies for old goods, with a maximum reduction of 2,000 yuan" are provided, covering more than 200 sub-categories of consumer goods such as household appliances and household appliances.

The potential of the trillion-dollar market has gradually opened up.

Since the beginning of this year, the national policy on trade-in of consumer goods has been continuously introduced, and various measures have been implemented intensively. In March, the State Council issued the Action Plan for Promoting Large-scale Equipment Renewal and Trade-in of Consumer Goods. In April, the Ministry of Commerce and other 14 departments jointly issued the Action Plan for Promoting Trade-in of Consumer Goods, proposing to promote the replacement of automobiles with "energy", home appliances with "intelligence" and home improvement and kitchen and bathroom with "rejuvenation" on the basis of respecting consumers’ wishes.

According to the National Development and Reform Commission, by the end of 2023, the number of domestic civil automobiles reached 336 million, and the number of household appliances such as refrigerators, washing machines and air conditioners exceeded 3 billion. The upgrading of automobiles and household appliances will create a market space of one trillion yuan. Zhang Yi, CEO and chief analyst of Ai Media Consulting, said that the fields of automobiles, home appliances, home improvement, kitchen and bathroom are closely related to consumers’ daily life, which has penetrated into almost every family in China, and the consumption space brought by the whole market is huge.

In the face of the trillion-dollar consumer market, the reporter found that in addition to Guangdong, many places in the country have also taken action, including Zhejiang, Hunan, Shandong, Shanxi, Chongqing and other provinces and regions have introduced relevant action plans, and some places have clearly defined the scope of support for trade-in and specific subsidy rules. For example, in 2024, Shanghai formulated the detailed rules for the implementation of the "trade-in" subsidy for old cars in Shanghai, and made it clear that individual users would purchase new fuel passenger cars with the national emission standard of six B, and eligible ones would be given a one-time subsidy of 2,800 yuan.

Trade-in of consumer goods is being carried out in full swing everywhere, and listed companies have also ushered in a broad new market and development opportunities. The reporter combed and found that many listed companies have recently responded to investors’ questions on the interactive platform, clearly indicating that trade-in will bring benefits to the company’s development.

For example, Yum! Smart said that the company can provide corresponding access control and management equipment updates, such as gates, access doors and access control systems, and provide overall solutions in the process of urban renewal and renovation of old residential areas. Hefei Department Store said that the company’s top 100 electrical appliances are cooperating with a number of home appliance companies to carry out the "Trade-in Brand Festival" and will strive for more trade-in policy support in the future. Gemei said that the country has introduced a large-scale equipment renewal and consumer goods replacement action plan. This policy is unprecedented in strength, breadth and depth, which is conducive to the growth of the company’s electronic waste recycling, scrapped car recycling and power battery recycling.

However, at present, there are also some enterprises and residents who are not willing to take the initiative to update equipment and trade in old ones. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities and dean of the research institute, believes that this is mainly due to two reasons: one is that the equipment can still be used normally, and the other is that the replacement needs to pay extra fees. In this regard, Luo Zhiheng believes that policies such as finance and currency need coordinated support to fully mobilize the enthusiasm of enterprises and residents through incentive measures. When it comes to the elimination of backward equipment, local governments and relevant departments should formulate scientific standards and implement them in an orderly manner to prevent the expectation and confidence of micro-subjects from being dampened by eagerness for success.

Editor: Wan Jianwei

Proofreading: Zhao Yan

CCTV News:Yesterday (March 29), the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other 11 departments jointly issued guidance, proposing to cultivate traditional superior food producing areas and promote the development of local specialty food industry by enhancing the ability to guarantee high-quality raw materials, upgrading technical equipment and design level. Let’s look at the drive of some local specialty food industries to the consumer market.

Eleven departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, jointly issued guidance, proposing to cultivate traditional superior food producing areas and promote the development of local specialty food industry. It is estimated that by 2025, more than five traditional superior food producing areas with a level of 100 billion will be cultivated.

Cookie oven with dipping sauce and soul barbecue set of three. Recently, the barbecue in Zibo has been popular on social media, attracting tourists from all over the country to take the high-speed train and go straight to the barbecue shop.

To say that the soul of Zibo barbecue is a table with a small charcoal oven. Waiters usually bring seven or eight cooked kebabs to the table, and then customers need to process them themselves. This immersive experience greatly stimulates the diners’ sense of participation.

Everything about cookies is the barbecue style in Zibo, which suits the tastes of young consumers. After the spread of social media, it has attracted many people’s attention. For the convenience of tourists who come to eat barbecue, Zibo has specially formulated a barbecue map and added 21 barbecue bus lines. With the extension of barbecue traffic, the tourist popularity in Zibo has also increased.

Developing characteristic economy is inseparable from its own advantages. In Yunnan, the "port economy" is driving the local foreign trade and border markets to get hot. At Hekou Port in Yunnan, cold-chain trucks loaded with fresh durian from Thailand are being sent to Kunming for transit and then transported to many places in the country. With the full resumption of customs clearance at Hekou Port, more and more Chinese and foreign tourists gather in the border town. Vietnamese spring rolls, rice noodles dipped in water and other exotic foods are deeply loved by everyone.

The latest trailer picture of Lantu’s bosom friend is released

To warm up Lantu’s new global model, an all-electric SUV, which is capturing the market’s attention, the company released four posters highlighting the word "no", which successfully aroused consumer curiosity and hinted that the car had a deep insight into user requests.

Lantu’s confidant promises "no false label, true battery life", equipped with a 109kWh battery pack, achieving a 901-kilometer cruising range, which is at the industry’s leading level, and its true battery life performance is expected.

At the technical level, Lantu’s confidant abandoned the practice of simply pursuing traffic, and instead emphasized "not comparing traffic, comparing technology". It is equipped with the current most efficient 800V high-efficiency electric drive system, with an electric drive efficiency of up to 92.5%. Combined with a new generation of high-density amber batteries, it ensures the coexistence of high efficiency and high energy, enhancing the user’s battery life experience.

In terms of safety, Landscape’s confidant adopts a 2000MPa high-strength body structure, passes the five-star safety certification, and combines the comprehensive protection measures of amber batteries, making safety performance a major highlight.

In the face of the "price war" in the market, Lantu’s confidant proposed "not the price, but the value", indicating that it will attract consumers with value beyond the price. It is expected to pay more attention to product quality and practicality while ensuring cost performance.

As the second new car of the Lantu brand recently, Lantu Zhiyin complements the recently released Lantu FREE 318, which focuses on long-range extended-range models and jointly improves Lantu’s product lineup. Lantu Zhiyin is positioned in the household consumer market, and only provides pure electric versions. It is planned to be produced at the Dongfeng Yunfeng factory, aiming to help Lantu achieve its annual sales target.

All in all, Lantu’s bosom friend is not only the key layout of the brand in the field of pure electric SUV, but also a confident demonstration of core technology and product value. With excellent battery life, top technology, strict safety standards and adherence to value, Lantu’s bosom friend has the potential to win the favor of young family consumers. The latest trailer of Lantu’s bosom friend is released!

On November 16, the new generation of COOPER family was officially launched, which may be the last generation of fuel MINI. The new car continues to be sold in the imported way, including three-door, five-door and JCW models. The price range is 23.38-31 800 yuan

From the appearance, the design language of the new MINI COOPER as a whole and the MINI electric version has always been the same. The closed air intake grille has become a grid shape, and the round headlights and big mouth middle net have been retained, which is very recognizable. The "Racer" and "Artist" carry the same power combination, and the appearance adds a JCW sports kit. The wide air intake and the radiator at the tail are designed with a fighting atmosphere, and the JCW logo can be seen everywhere inside and outside the car. In addition, the "Racer" can also choose a chili red roof.

From the side, the new car is equipped with two-tone wheels, which are sporty and available from 16 inches to 18 inches. The rear of the car is equipped with a new triangular taillight design, connected by a black through-trim trim in the middle, and equipped with a hidden exhaust pipe below.

The new model adopts an all-black design on the China grid and has a JCW exclusive logo. At the same time, the MINI logo has also been blackened, and the sides are complemented by red decoration, which is more recognizable. In addition, the new car is also equipped with 18-inch double five-spoke wheels and JCW brake calipers. It is worth mentioning that the JCW model also adopts a single exhaust layout in the middle to further enhance the personalized attributes.

In the interior part, the new car is equipped with a 9.4-inch round central control multimedia interactive screen, and adopts a three-spoke type and HUD head-up display. The center console materials also use a lot of environmentally friendly materials. The five-door version of the model adds rear seats and riding space, and sets up a cup holder and a Type-C charging port behind the middle channel armrest. The rear seats of the new car can have a space volume of 923 liters after folding.

The new car configuration has been greatly improved, and it will be equipped with UWB digital key, round OLED central control screen, two-way projection ambient light, ABS + DSCi assistance, L2 smart driving assistance, electric adjustment seat, seat massage, mobile phone wireless charging, cute pet Spike intelligent personal assistant, and rich audio-visual entertainment.

In terms of power, the new car continues to provide 1.5T and 2.0T engines for users to choose from. The MINI COOPER C version is equipped with a 1.5T three-cylinder gasoline engine with a maximum power of 115 kW and a peak torque of 230 Nm; the MINI COOPER S is equipped with a 2.0T four-cylinder engine with a maximum power of 150 kW and a peak torque of 300 Nm. The new MINI JCW is equipped with a 2.0T four-cylinder engine with a maximum power of 170 kW and a peak torque of 380 Nm. The acceleration time of 0-100 km/h is 6.1 seconds. The transmission system is matched with a 7-speed dual-clutch transmission.

Recently, the international gold spot and futures market prices have hit record highs, which has aroused widespread concern in the market. On December 4th, new york gold futures and London spot gold both broke through the $2,100 mark per ounce, with new york gold futures hitting a record high of $2,152.3 per ounce and London spot gold hitting a record high of $2,144.68 per ounce.

However, in the following trading days, the price of gold showed a high downward trend, and the upward price appeared to be powerless. As of the close of the 7th, the most active February 2024 gold futures price in the New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures market fell by $1.5 to close at $2,046.4 per ounce.

Some analysts said that considering that the current inflation in the United States is still resilient, it is difficult to start the interest rate cut cycle in the first quarter of next year, and the US bond issuance in the first quarter of next year is still at a historical high, thus limiting the downside of the US bond interest rate, and the gold price may face callback pressure in the short term.

"In the short term, we are still cautious." Highfill, chief investment director of UBS Global Wealth Management, explained to the First Financial Reporter that the market’s bet on the Fed’s interest rate cut next year may be over-optimistic, and the hedging premium brought by geopolitical risks may be further digested. In addition, the further rise of gold may need to see the continuous net inflow of funds into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Vision china diagram

The medium-term prospects are still optimistic.

Nevertheless, Highfill is optimistic about the medium-term prospects of gold. Looking forward to 2024, UBS believes that the gold price will look at $2,250, and the Fed’s narrative will turn to easing and cutting interest rates, which will further open up the upside of gold prices.

"The trend of gold after the Palestinian-Israeli conflict supports our view that gold is an important asset for medium and long-term capital allocation. We believe that in a balanced investment portfolio, the proportion of gold allocation in the middle single digits is appropriate." Highfill thinks that when the price of gold falls below $2,000, it is an opportunity to further invest in gold.

In November, the trend of international gold price first suppressed and then rose. At the beginning of the month, the market’s risk aversion to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict gradually cooled down, and the safe-haven premium of gold began to ebb. Even in the context of the downward fluctuation of the US dollar index, the price of gold still showed a high downward trend. After the safe-haven premium was digested, the downward trend of the US dollar index and US bond interest rates pushed up the price of gold as the inflationary pressure in the United States in October eased more than expected and the superimposed economic momentum slowed down.

On November 14th, data released by the US Department of Labor showed that inflation cooled down more than expected. In October, the consumer price index (CPI) in the United States dropped from 3.7% in the previous month to 3.2%, which was lower than the market expectation of 3.3%. The chain was flat, the smallest increase since July 2022. At the same time, the core CPI excluding food and energy decreased from 4.1% last month to 4.0%, lower than the market’s previous forecast of 4.1%; The chain rose by 0.2%, the smallest increase since July this year.

In October, housing fell to 0.3% month-on-month and 6.7% year-on-year, which is still at a high level. From the historical experience, the rent price involved in housing CPI is often sticky, lagging behind the house price for one to two years. On November 29th, S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national house price index data showed that house prices in 20 cities in the United States rose by 3.9% year-on-year in September, and it has been 19 months since the peak in April 2022.

Analysts said that with the Fed raising interest rates and shrinking the table, the 30-year mortgage interest rate in the United States soared to over 7% at the end of October last year, and rose to over 7.0% again in August this year. Under the pressure of high interest rates, the housing breakdown is expected to continue to improve in the fourth quarter, which will further ease inflationary pressures.

The resilience of the labor market is the basis for American residents to maintain their spending power, and it is also the key to the resilience of inflation. Recently, a number of data show that the US job market has obviously cooled down. On December 6th, the American private sector (ADP) employment report, known as "small non-agricultural", showed that the number of new jobs in ADP was lower than expected for four consecutive months in November, and the number of new jobs was revised down in October, while the wage growth rate in November hit a new low in more than two years.

All these have enhanced investors’ expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates next year. In addition, the tone of Fed officials’ speeches has eased recently. In his latest speech, Waller, a Fed governor who has always been "hawkish", mentioned the possibility of starting to cut interest rates after inflation continues to return, which triggered the market’s pricing of early interest rate cuts, driving the real interest rate and the US dollar to fall back at the same time, which boosted the gold price.

Nicky Shiels, metal strategist at MKS PAMP, said: "Gold has become a barometer reflecting the Fed’s interest rate cut expectations and market risk aversion."

Regarding the reasons for the recent rise in gold prices, analysts also believe that there are factors such as the wave of gold purchases by the central bank and the safe-haven premium brought by the geopolitical situation.

Aakash Doshi, head of commodity research in the Americas at Citigroup, said that despite the rapid rise in interest rates, the purchase by central banks was the key reason why the value of gold remained strong last year.

Is there more potential for silver prices to rise?

However, unlike the central bank’s continuous gold purchase fever, the global gold ETF has flowed out of 189 tons since the beginning of the year, and it has shown a net outflow trend for six consecutive quarters, which of course caused some investors’ concerns.

At the same time, analysts said that as the anchor of short-term pricing of gold prices, the US bond interest rate currently lacks the conditions for a downward trend. Therefore, there is a high probability that the price of gold will remain high in the short term.

Suki Cooper, an analyst at Standard Chartered Bank, said: "In the past two years, the gold market has always rushed to the monetary policy shift.Although we expect the Fed’s next move will be to cut interest rates, we don’t think it will happen soon. "

In contrast, analysts believe that,The price of silver is still seriously undervalued. With the improvement of risk appetite, silver is more elastic as a "shadow of gold" than gold and silver. And historically, it has outperformed gold in the gold bull market.

On the 7th, the price of silver futures for delivery in March 2024 closed down 16.9 cents to US$ 24.059 per ounce, and the ratio of gold to silver was 85:1, which was still at a high level in history. Looking back on the trend of gold-silver ratio in recent 50 years,The duration of high gold-silver ratio is limited, and most of the time fluctuates between 40:1 and 60:1.In 2011, the ratio fell to 30:1, and in 1979 it fell below 20:1.

Peter Schiff, chief economist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, said that at the current price, silver is really cheap, the price of silver is obviously undervalued, and the market supply and demand deficit is serious. "I think silver is especially in a good opportunity for allocation, because gold is at a record high, and silver must double to hit a record high. This shows that silver is very cheap. " He said.

Indeed, from the perspective of supply and demand dynamics, according to the latest forecast of Oxford Economic Research Institute, the demand for silver in industrial applications, jewelry production and silverware manufacturing is expected to nearly double in the next 10 years.

In 2022, the demand for silver set a record in all categories. At the same time, the output decreased slightly by 0.6% to 822.4 million ounces, resulting in a market deficit of 237.7 million ounces last year, which is the second consecutive year. The Silver Research Institute predicts that the demand will reach 1.17 billion ounces this year, while the estimated supply is 1.02 billion ounces. Although this will reduce the gap to 142.1 million ounces, it will still be the second largest deficit in more than 20 years.

　　[Brand History] Professor Commager, an American critic, tried to explore "the elusive thing called the American spirit" in the book "The American Spirit", which is a combination of self-confidence, independence, enterprising, tolerance and freedom, and also contains profound confusion and confusion. Regarding the American spirit, I believe everyone has their own interpretation. If you were asked to find a brand in America that best explains the American spirit, who would you choose? The first thing that comes to my mind is not the car brands, but the Harley-Davidson we are going to talk about today.

　　Since 1903, Harley-Davidson has not only produced countless "exciting products" (Clinton’s evaluation), but also created a riding culture that embodies passion, freedom and independence. In the course of one hundred years’ development, it has experienced many baptism of war, economic recession, buyout and repurchase, foreign competition and market changes, and its success is called the legend of American traditional manufacturing industry. However, for such a brand, it is easy to be over-exaggerated and mythical. In the final analysis, it is only a means of transportation or one of the tools for people to express their personality, and it is not the only one. How to interpret the brand connotation of Harley-Davidson? I believe that a comprehensive understanding of its history is a good way.

● Milwaukee, the birthplace of legend

　　There was no expressway in Milwaukee more than 100 years ago. Most roads were paved with pebbles, and the streets were mostly gravel roads or dirt roads. Wagons are the main means of transportation in this city, while ordinary people without wagons have to walk or ride bicycles. Of course, the difficulties people faced at that time were far more than just traveling, but also incurable diseases and lack of material conditions.

　　Although the basic conditions are very poor, the industrial revolution has brought people extremely valuable wealth, which is creativity and imagination, and they are brave enough to try. In those days, gasoline-powered vehicles occasionally appeared on the roads, which always attracted crowds to watch. Most importantly, these vehicles and their related stories inspired the creativity of many young people in the early days, including William Harley, 21, and Arthur Davidson, 20.

　　William Harley and Arthur Davidson are both Milwaukee natives. Interestingly, they are both neighbors and work in the same metal factory. William Harley is a cartographer, while Arthur Davidson is a model mechanic. As amateurs, the two of them originally wanted to build a motor vehicle that relied on driving. Nevertheless, the difficulties in making such a car at that time are unimaginable now. You can’t go to the store or buy the parts you need through the mail order catalogue. Most of the parts must be designed and manufactured by yourself.

　　They are not just dreamers (), but supported by certain knowledge and technical foundation. William Harley once worked for a bicycle manufacturer and knew about the related hardware. Arthur Davidson has experience in engine model manufacturing. After two years of experiments, they made some progress, but they still needed more help, especially the knowledge about machinery, so they found Arthur Davidson’s brother Walter Davidson.

　　Walter Davidson is a highly skilled railway mechanic. After studying the design sketch, he decided to stay in Milwaukee to help William Harley and Arthur Davidson complete the engine development. At first, their experiment was carried out in the basement of their home, and the first engine was successfully manufactured and then installed on the bicycle. However, they found that the engine was too small to generate enough power, so they had to redesign it.

　　On the door panel of the wooden house, the words "HARLEY-DAVION MOTOR CO" are written, which is the first time that the two surnames of Harley-Davidson have been put together. Perhaps they wouldn’t have thought that this company, which was born in a log cabin, would develop into a legendary enterprise madly loved by car fans all over the world in the near future, and everything in the story really started here.

　　After repeated tests, the first mass-produced Harley-Davidson motorcycle was officially born in 1903, named Serial No.1 The equipment of this car is extremely simple. It can be said that it has two wheels and an engine, and the top speed is only 11km/h. The single-cylinder engine has a row and the displacement is 440ml. At present, Serial No.1 is treasured in the exhibition hall of Juneau Street.

　　Interestingly, for a long time, people didn’t know that serial number 1 was the first Harley-Davidson motorcycle. Until one day, when the repair members were disassembling some parts, they found that there was a "1" marked by the original mechanic, and the unexpected discovery made everyone excited.

　　At the beginning of the company’s establishment, although there were only three founders, William Harley and the Davidson brothers still divided their work. Among them, Walter Davidson was appointed, Arthur Davidson was in charge of sales, and William Harley was the chief engineer. In 1907, William Davidson, one of Davidson’s three brothers, joined the team and served as vice president, forming the earliest entrepreneurial team of Harley Davidson. Regarding the history of Harley-Davidson’s birth, there is a video below, and interested friends can have an addiction.

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